ATP - Secretary
of State John Kerry met Vladimir Putin in Moscow last week and announced that
he will accept Putin's demand that President Bashar Assad stay in power in
Syria. This is the latest in a long list of Kremlin victories in undercutting
President Barack Obama's global leadership and undermining the likelihood that
we'll see peace and stability in Syria.
The
Obama administration hopes that Putin will be a constructive partner in our war
against the Islamic State. But the latest gesture will lead to the same
disappointment that we've had every other time we've tried to work with Putin.
First,
we've seen Putin's unrestrained aggression time and time again. In 2008, Russia
invaded a sovereign nation, Georgia, and despite international shaming, Russian troops still occupy the Georgian territories
of Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Four
years later, Russia invaded the Ukraine and annexed Crimea, a venture that has
cost 9,000 lives and displaced two million people. This year, Russia threatened Denmark with a nuclear attack.
Putin's
aggression is immune to disapproval from other world leaders. It's time to
learn from past mistakes and stop trusting Putin to be a good-faith partner in
international relations.
Putin
has a long history of manipulative bullying, and we have no reason to expect
that he will be any different in Syria. We have seen Putin's model of fighting insurgents in the
decade-long war that he launched in Chechnya in 1999. First, Putin killed off
every moderate Chechen leader he could find, both in Russia and overseas. Then
he ran a scorched earth campaign that targeted civilians.
According
to the International Crisis Group, war crimes and crimes
against humanity in Chechnya committed by Russian troops included
"indiscriminate shelling and bombing, secret prisons, enforced
disappearances, mass graves, and death squads." The Russian approach to
counter-insurgency is so barbaric that cooperation in Syria is unlikely to be
constructive.
Russia
has behaved savagely and indiscriminately in Syria since it entered the fray in
September. Ninety percent of Russia's first bombing raids in Syria were
directed at U.S. supported moderates. Since Russia started its air campaign,
its targets in Syria have included hospitals, markets,
bakeries, and grain silos, leading to thousands of civilian casualties and
260,000 displaced people. Such carnage will increase the ranks of terrorists
and will sabotage international efforts to bring peace and stability to the
region.
What
we need in Syria is a coalition of European, Jordanian, Turkish, Saudi and
Qatari allies who are willing to commit ground troops into northern Syria to
create Sunni safe havens along the Turkish border and build a moderate Sunni
Arab fighting force. A model for success is the Anbar Awakening in 2007 in
which American soldiers won over the Sunni tribes by offering them protection
from jihadists and by taking care to minimize civilian casualties.
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